
Traditionally, most existing approaches for track geometry inspection scheduling are largely done through time-or condition-based approaches. These approaches are limited as problems in some critical track sections may not be resolved and they may result in inefficient resource allocation by treating all track segments as possessing same level of risk. Such limitations can lead to increased risks of undetected track geometry defects and increased cost of maintenance activities. To address these limitations, this research develops a non-linear risk-based track geometry inspection framework for optimizing inspection intervals, incorporating imperfect detection reliability. Stochastic models will be used to characterize the non-linear evolution of the degradation of the track geometry parameters. The developed stochastic processes will be evaluated using repeat inspection data of various track geometry parameters and used to determine time-to-defects values. Detection reliability will be incorporated through developing a probability of detection model influenced by various factors such as inspection technology and defect magnitude. Variation in behavior along the railway track will be accounted for by dividing the track into multiple segments and independently evaluating the risk characteristics of each segment. Time to
defects obtained from the stochastic models will be used to develop a novel methodology for determining inspection intervals based on risk characteristics at various segments.
The developed framework will be extended to multiple track geometry parameters at various track segments. Outputs from the risk-based track geometry inspection framework will be employed to develop practical inspection planning charts analogous to that for rail inspection scheduling. These inspection charts will provide infrastructure managers and railway maintenance engineers with a decision support tool for track geometry inspection planning based on degradation behavior at various track segments, thereby bridging the gap between probabilistic theory and maintenance practice on operational railway networks. By developing this risk-based inspection framework, this study will contribute to a more realistic, adaptable and operationally applicable framework for planning track geometry inspection activities, leading to improved railway safety, maintenance efficiency and enhanced infrastructure reliability.





